Race 7 – N15 Ilwendo-as suspected McGillvray is out with concussion. No jock named as yet-so this is an important factor regarding backing this horse. A good jock and he is an EW play at 4.2 and 1.8 for place multis. 14/10/4 for novelties
Race 8 – 12 Exhilarates – scratching of Hightail helps. Will sit closer from inside draw and looks a super EW bet at 5.0 and 1.85 – the favourite Dawn Passage is the obvious danger.
Race 4 n 4 Trumbull – ran to a big figure 90 of 84 when rocketing home behind Ranier last start. Will need to sit closer in the run to beat the favourite Soldier Of Love but Nash on is a big plus. 4.0 and 1.55
Race 7 N 6 Sikorsky – he is short enough but he is progressive and can take the next step. 2.25 maybe gets out to 2.5. No Say In It and Pure Scot are the novelty bets.
Belmont Park – we had 31 ml in Perth yesterday with another 30 ml forecast today. 4th meeting in a week at Belmont so may pay to bet late into this meeting.
Initially liked Condor Heroes at the shorts and The Velvet King in the Belmont Sprint. No value there on genuine heavy so happy to watch at this stage.
Race 5 – could be a good pick 4 race – load up the win box 3/11/4/15/8/10
Doomben Race 1 – 3 Koonunga $5 same trainer as Ilwendo-trialled super in Sydney(no jockey also) 10. GinN Bitters $3 ran to a huge figure of 82 v 68 in the Chief De Beers.
Caulfield Race 5 N 7 Gododdin – Has been 4.6 into 3.8 so getting rock bottom-Craig went too early two starts ago and didn’t handle the straight at Flemington last start.
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